Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 2.040859 2.147061 2.260739 2.392390 2.541870 2.707844 2.908301
2025-07-20 1.976287 2.117936 2.276087 2.468376 2.699732 2.974678 3.335557
2025-07-27 1.902978 2.063632 2.248003 2.479718 2.770291 3.133860 3.644651
2025-08-03 1.842361 2.015813 2.219107 2.481363 2.821565 3.266449 3.931568
2025-08-10 1.762035 1.938074 2.146998 2.420820 2.783601 3.271721 4.032928
2025-08-17 1.703877 1.883218 2.098549 2.385023 2.772361 3.308431 4.181607
2025-08-24 1.659233 1.842190 2.064276 2.363977 2.777281 3.365613 4.368328
2025-08-31 1.629373 1.817641 2.048825 2.365603 2.811985 3.467820 4.646850
2025-09-07 1.605910 1.799704 2.040362 2.375134 2.857251 3.589273 4.984562
2025-09-14 1.541292 1.727639 1.959164 2.281450 2.746042 3.452521 4.802857
2025-09-21 1.531470 1.724671 1.967491 2.310859 2.817453 3.616244 5.251517
2025-09-28 1.487600 1.676799 1.915130 2.253201 2.754312 3.550357 5.204058
2025-10-05 1.476630 1.673278 1.924278 2.286913 2.839607 3.758491 5.856270
2025-10-12 1.479482 1.687338 1.956961 2.355543 2.985208 4.098629 7.030677
2025-10-19 1.461460 1.673091 1.950246 2.365660 3.036638 4.271509 7.880040
2025-10-26 1.441773 1.655820 1.938418 2.367044 3.072941 4.420047 8.788807
2025-11-02 1.404535 1.614041 1.891076 2.312231 3.008471 4.346819 8.784367
2025-11-09 1.376534 1.583972 1.859207 2.279738 2.980796 4.350333 9.128997
2025-11-16 1.354327 1.561122 1.836723 2.260600 2.975115 4.401600 9.755366
2025-11-23 1.339874 1.548316 1.827896 2.262040 3.005914 4.540569 11.040542
2025-11-30 1.328426 1.539216 1.823911 2.270659 3.050140 4.719964 13.010799
2025-12-07 1.288323 1.490301 1.761940 2.185471 2.916247 4.445666 11.308056
2025-12-14 1.284266 1.490526 1.770303 2.212229 2.992228 4.704796 14.284657